Publications

Les risques de nature sociopolitique constituent une dimension clé du risque-pays. L’expérience historique révèle en effet que les crises sociopolitiques peuvent durablement enrayer les processus de développement et conduire à une dégradation marquée des composantes économiques et financières du risque-pays. À titre d’illustration, un conflit civil coûte en moyenne à un pays en développement (PED) […]

This short note recalls the debated conclusions of the literature on the impact of decolonization for small islands. It also presents an overview of compared performances of New-Caledonia in terms of human development and inequalities. It concludes with some thoughts on the vulnerability of New-Caledonia, in the face of climate change particularly.

This paper revisits the question of how brain drain affects the optimal education policy of a developing economy. Our framework of analysis highlights the complementarity between public spending on education and students’ efforts to acquire human capital in response to career opportunities at home and abroad. Given this complementarity, we .find that brain drain has […]

This paper sheds light on the global migration patterns of the past 40 years, and produces migration projections for the 21st century, for two skill groups, and for all relevant pairs of countries. To do this, we build a simple model of the world economy, and we parameterize it to match the economic and socio-demographic […]

This paper empirically revisits the impact of birthplace diversity on economic growth. We use panel data on US states over the 1960-2010 period. This rich data set allows us to better deal with endogeneity issues and to conduct a large set of robustness checks. Our results suggest that diversity among college-educated immigrants positively affects economic […]

This paper characterizes the recent evolution of the geographic distribution of talent, and studies its implications for development inequality. Assuming the continuation of recent educational and immigration policies, it produces integrated projections of income, population, urbanization and human capital for the 21st century. To do so, we develop and parameterize a two-sector, two-class, world economy […]

This paper empirically investigates whether emigrants from MENA countries self-select on cultural traits such as religiosity and gender-egalitarian attitudes. To do so, we use Gallup World Poll data on individual opinions and beliefs, migration aspirations, short-run migration plans, and preferred destination choices. We find that individuals who intend to emigrate to OECD, high-income countries exhibit […]

Dans une étude récente, Carrère et al. (2016) montrent que l’effet du commerce sur le chômage dépend du fonctionnement du marché du travail dans les secteurs bénéficiant d’avantages comparatifs. L’impact du commerce international sur le chômage serait positif si l’avantage comparatif porte sur des secteurs dont le marché du travail est sujet à des frictions […]

Chapitre de l’ouvrage Cartographie des risques volcaniques et hydrologiques – Application à la ville d’Arequipa et à d’autres cités menacées, publié suite à l’atelier international “Cartographie des aléas et du risque volcaniques, en particulier les écoulements d’origine volcanique et hydro-météorologique en milieu urbain : le cas de la ville d’Arequipaet du volcán Misti et autres […]

We build retrospective series for the Human Assets Index from the United Nations—Committee for Development Policy data. The HAI is a composite index which includes health and education components. Our series cover 145 developing countries for the period 1990–2014. The analysis provides insights into the changes in the HAI and its distribution for different groups […]